This was my forecast for Oldham East & Saddleworth, and blog post of last night -
No mention of Glenrothes East. If The Order commands a result for a byelection, they can usually get the result they require. By one means or another. BNP votes stand a good chance of being ignored and added to Labour’s. ‘A few’ Conservative votes could be allocated to the Lib Dems as the OWG would not want the Lib Dems humiliated. They are needed to keep the eurosceptics on the Conservative backbenches in check.
by Tapestry January 13th, 2011 at 20:18that was the comment I left on politicalbetting.
Mike Smithson was looking at how significant a win might be for Labour and Miliband's leadership. Yet he failed to mention the strong evidence of poll rigging in recent byelections such as took place at Glenrothes, where the Register actually disappeared, before reappearing six months later with all the names deleted. The best way to forecast an election result is to imagine what result The Order would most like to see, as that is the one that has the biggest chance of occurring.
The BNP are the only party that opposes Britain's involvement in The War On Terror, and so will inevitably never be allowed to prosper at the ballot box. Labour will win with a stronger showing than expected by the Lib Dems. UKIP will put in a useful performance, but not enough to scare the horses at Number 10 Downing Street, where Cameron has been a very good NWO/EU boy of late. There is no way the feelings of voters will be reflected in the outcome.
It looks as if they're going to be up to their usual tricks.....(from comment by Andy JS on political betting)
A council's "draconian" ban on journalists and photographers at Thursday night's crucial Oldham by-election count has come under attack by media organisations.
Town Hall officials have ruled press will only be able to watch the count from a balcony at the venue and any access to candidates must go through a council press officer. Reporters are normally allowed on the floor of election counts to speak to candidates while reporting first-hand on the action.
The Press Association and the BBC have both made complaints about the running of the event by Charlie Parker, the acting returning officer and chief executive officer of Oldham Council.
http://www.berwick-advertiser.co.uk/news/media_anger_at_oldham_count_rules_1_452311
And here is the 'result'
http://www.berwick-advertiser.co.uk/news/media_anger_at_oldham_count_rules_1_452311
And here is the 'result'
Oldham East & Saddleworth: the result
| Labour | ||
| Lib Dem | ||
| Conservative | ||
| UKIP | ||
| BNP | ||
| Others |
Labour Majority 3,558
CONCLUSION - My forecast was spot-on.
The coalition will have to field a single candidate
and also absorb UKIP into a coalition if the
'right wants to win an election. The 'right' is
split three ways now.
From hereon it's Labour or EU withdrawal,
championed by .............
Vince Cable!!
The coalition will have to field a single candidate
and also absorb UKIP into a coalition if the
'right wants to win an election. The 'right' is
split three ways now.
From hereon it's Labour or EU withdrawal,
championed by .............
Vince Cable!!


2 comments:
Glenrothes, where the Register actually disappeared, before reappearing six months later with all the names deleted.
Really? I didn't know that. Do you have a link Tap? I can't find anything that reports that it had been returned.
I got the story from Old Rightie. I'll check if he can back up the story.
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