Newark UKIP backers defy the polls
Local punters are queueing up to back UKIP at 6/1 to surprise the pollsters to win Thursday’s Newark by-election, according to Ladbrokes.
- The bookies reported that they had failed to take a single bet on the Tories in the town’s betting shops on Tuesday.
Despite that, the Tories remain odds-on favourites to retain the seat in what has become a clear two-horse race.
Elections are decided not by the voters but by the pollsters who are paid to forecast the results of elections to please the paymasters. The people of Newark might all be going to vote for UKIP and so put on bets at 6/1. But their votes will not be what wins the seat. It's not the votes that count, but who counts the votes, as someone said. Pollsters show a comfortable Conservative win. Local people know different. My money's on the pollsters winning, not the voters.